Pay Off the Card or Contribute to Your RRSP? The 2026 Math for Canadians
One in four Canadians expect to make only minimum credit card payments (Equifax, July 2026). At ~20% interest, paying the card usually beats an RRSP contribution - unless you have an employer match. Here's the worked math.
RRSP season marketing and a 20% credit card do not mix. Equifax Canada asked 1,532 people in mid-July 2026: 25% expected to make only the minimum payment on their cards; another 7% thought they would fall behind. Fifty-six percent still planned to pay in full.
If you are in the first group, the next $10,000 should almost never go to an unmatched RRSP. The tax refund looks large. The interest on the card is a guaranteed negative return that does not care about your marginal rate.
Compare a transfer or loan in the balance transfer calculator, then put the leftover (if any) through the account priority calculator.
What Equifax actually measured
Survey of 1,532 Canadians ages 18โ65, 17โ19 July 2026, Leger online panel, published 6 August 2026. Margin of error ยฑ2.5%, 19 times in 20, if it had been a probability sample.
| Finding | Share |
|---|---|
| Expect to make only minimum card payments | 25% |
| Likely to fall behind on payments | 7% |
| Expect to pay the balance in full | 56% |
| Under 55 vs 55+ on minimum payments | 31% vs 16% |
| Using credit/savings for everyday expenses | 29% |
That is not a statement about the national average card APR. Typical unsecured purchase rates on Canadian bank cards still cluster around 19.99%โ20.99%; some store cards are higher. Use the rate on your statement.
The $10,000 card, two speeds
Assume 20.99% annual, monthly compounding, no new purchases. Minimum payment = 3% of the outstanding balance (a common formula; some issuers use interest + 1% of principal).
| Payment | Time to clear | Interest paid |
|---|---|---|
| 3% minimum, shrinking with the balance | ~27 years (321 months) | ~$13,689 |
| Flat $300 / month | still many years (year-1 interest ~$1,946; ~$8,346 left) | see calculator |
| Flat $500 / month | ~25 months | ~$2,415 |
Minimum payments are how a $10,000 lifestyle purchase becomes a $23,700 life event. Julie Kuzmic at Equifax put it plainly: the minimum can feel like a way through a hard month, and the balance then takes much longer and costs considerably more.
The $10,000 RRSP on the other side of the table
Same $10,000, but contributed to an RRSP. Tax saved uses the MoneyMetrics 2026 engine (Ontario, employment income, standard credits, CPP/EI still on gross):
| Salary (ON) | Tax saved on $10k RRSP | Effective refund rate |
|---|---|---|
| $50,000 | $2,055 | 20.5% |
| $75,000 | $3,115 | ~31% |
| $100,000 | $3,058 | 30.6% |
$3,115 is a good refund. It is not a 31% return on money you still owe at 21%. Sequence for a $75,000 earner who puts $10,000 into the RRSP and leaves the card untouched:
- Card still $10,000 at 20.99% โ about $2,099 of interest if the balance sits for a year
- Tax refund $3,115 arrives at filing (or via extra paycheque withholding if you file a T1213 / extra RRSP on the T1)
- If you apply the refund to the card you still have ~$6,885 of 21% debt
- If you had paid the card instead, interest is $0 and you still have the RRSP room - unused room carries forward indefinitely
RRSP room does not expire. 20% interest compounds whether you look at it or not.
When the RRSP still goes first
| Situation | First dollar |
|---|---|
| Employer match (e.g. 50% on 4% of salary) | RRSP up to the match cap - a 50โ100% instant return beats 21% interest |
| Unsecured card / payday / 19%+ store card | Debt, after a tiny cash buffer so the next emergency does not go back on the card |
| Car loan or loc around 6โ8% | Closer call. At a 31% refund, a matched-or-high-bracket RRSP can win if you actually invest the refund and do not re-spend it |
| Mortgage at ~4โ5% | Usually invest (TFSA/RRSP) after the emergency fund; see priority order |
Do not take an RRSP loan from the same bank that issued the card in order to โget the refund.โ You are stacking 21% consumer debt to buy a 31% refund on a contribution you could make next year tax-free of that interest.
A 0% transfer is a tool, not a personality
A 12-month 0% balance transfer with a 3% fee turns $10,000 into $10,300 owed, with no purchase-rate interest during the promo if you follow the fine print (often: no missed payments, transfers only, purchases may still accrue). $10,300 รท 12 โ $858 per month to finish inside the window. Miss that and the leftover snaps back to ~21%.
Run the fee, promo length, and post-promo rate in the balance transfer calculator before you apply. A unsecured instalment loan at a mid-teens rate can also beat 21% - compare APR, not the monthly payment.
A 60-second priority if cash is tight
- Keep a small cash buffer ($500โ$1,000) so groceries do not hit the card again.
- Contribute only what is required to get the full employer match.
- Put every other surplus dollar on the highest APR (avalanche). Snowball (smallest balance first) is for motivation; avalanche is for math.
- After the 20%+ debt is gone, follow the FHSA / RRSP / TFSA order using your 2026 marginal rate.
Run the two calculators
Balance transfer for the debt side. Optimizer for what to do with the next dollar once the 20% is gone. Salary calculator if you need the exact refund rate in your province. Loan calculator if you are consolidating.
Equifax figures: Equifax Canada newsroom, 6 August 2026. Tax savings: MoneyMetrics 2026 engine. Card math: 20.99% APR, 3% minimum, monthly compounding - your issuer's formula will differ. This is not credit, tax, or product advice; if you cannot see a path off minimums, a licensed insolvency trustee or non-profit credit counsellor is the next call, not another RRSP contribution.
Run your own numbers with our free Canadian-tax-aware calculator.
Open Balance Transfer Calculator - compare payoff vs transfer โ